Analysis of Late AMNOG Benefit Assessments

Abstract

Since 2011, new drugs are assessed at the time of launch in Germany (AMNOG). Based on this early benefit assessment (EBA), drug prices are negotiated. At this time, the evidence base might be weak. A later benefit assessment (LBA) is not done on a regular basis except for selected drugs. Our objective was to analyze the impact of LBAs of drugs for the same indication. Analysis of all completed LBAs between 2011 and 2016. 228 benefit assessments have been performed since 2011. 26 drugs were assessed twice for the same indication. Oncology and diabetes were the most common therapeutic areas in LBA and more pronounced than in EBA. 15 LBAs were due to the EBAs having a time limitation because of insufficient evidence base partially based on conditional approval. Time between EBA and LBA was 2.6 years. All 15 drugs had added benefit in the EBA, 4 got a better, 5 a worse assessment in the LBA. Seven drugs without added benefit in the EBA were assessed at the request of the manufacturer because of new data after 1.7 years. Three drugs could show added benefit in the LBA. Finally, 4 orphan drugs were reassessed according to the AMNOG regulation after achieving annual sales of 50 million euros. One got a better, 2 got a worse benefit assessment. Average improvement of benefit was +1.5 on a scale between - 3 (worst negative benefit) and +9 (highest positive benefit). Average deterioration of added benefit was - 1.4. Negotiated prices were significantly correlated with the change in the benefit assessment. LBA on a broader evidence base did not result in a significantly changed outcome. A general LBA for all drugs does not appear to be necessary because of the limited effect on the benefit assessment and the price when considering cost and administrative burden of the AMNOG benefit assessment. The selective approach of LBA for specific drugs is sufficient in cases in which the evidence base was limited at launch.