Analysis of Impacting Factors of Regional Carbon Emissions Based on the STIRPAT Mode - A Case Study of Shaanxi Province

Abstract

Studying on the regional carbon emissions impacting factor and its effect will contribute greatly to formulation sound regional carbon emissions reduction policy. As a main province of energy development in the western of China, Shaanxi province is facing growing pressure to reduce carbon emissions. In this paper, carbon emissions impacting factors of Shaanxi were explored from aspects of population,economic growth, urbanization, industrial structure, technological progress and energy consumption structure by STIRPAT model and ridge regression method,then the contribution rate of impacting factors to carbon emissions increment were calculated. The results shows that population, economic growth, urbanization and energy consumption have positive impacting on the growth of carbon emissions in Shaanxi, among them, the economic growth is the decisive factor that pulling carbon emissions growth the economic growth. Industrial structure and technology progress had adverse effect on carbon emissions in Shaanxi, in comparison, the effect of optimizing of industrial structure to inhibit the carbon emissions in Shaanxi is greater than the effect of adjustment of energy consumption structure.