Analysis of global ionospheric scintillation and GPS positioning interference triggered by full-halo CME-driven geomagnetic storm: A case study

Abstract

Currently, the 25th solar activity peak has commenced, driving frequent geomagnetic storms and causing irregular disturbances in the global ionosphere, leading to the scintillation of Global Positioning System (GPS) signals, consequently decreasing the accuracy of GPS positioning. Analyzing the patterns of global ionospheric scintillation and changes in GPS positioning accuracy caused by geomagnetic storms is crucial to mitigate the adverse effects of GPS positioning. Current research has primarily concentrated on analyzing the effects of geomagnetic storms on ionospheric scintillation disturbances and GPS positioning interference. However, there is a notable gap in studying the holistic impact of coronal mass ejections (CMEs)-driven geomagnetic storms on GPS performance as an integrated event complex. This study investigates the conditions under which a CME drives a severe geomagnetic storm to elucidate the space weather phenomena associated with CME-driven geomagnetic storms. The ionospheric scintillation induced by the geomagnetic storm is analyzed, while we also examine the accuracy variability in kinematic precision point positioning (PPP) and its possible leading reasons. The research findings suggest that factors such as a high-speed full-halo CME, a southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) Bz, and high-speed solar wind contribute to the onset of this geomagnetic storm. Ionospheric scintillation and the decrease in positioning accuracy in low-latitude regions are less pronounced compared to mid- and high-latitude areas. Geomagnetic-storm-induced scintillation increases cycle slips, leading to a decrease in PPP accuracy. Even in the cases where geomagnetic storms do not induce ionospheric scintillation, positioning accuracy can still be affected by cycle slips, deterioration of the precision of the GPS measurements, data outages, and the decrease in the number of available satellites.