Abstract
全球主磁场模型描述了主磁场的时空分布特征。模型的主磁场阶数是构建主磁场模型的关键问题之一。使用贝叶斯推理分析全球主磁场模型,依据贝叶斯证据比较模型阶数,为主磁场的阶数分析提供一种统计依据。利用Swarm卫星磁测数据,估计不同阶数的主磁场模型的证据。结果表明,在1~20的模型阶数中,阶数<i>N</i> = 12具有全局最佳证据。参照Jefrrey’s scale的阈值区间,数据对阶数<i>N</i> = 12的偏好显著优于其他阶数。实验表明,主磁场阶数的证据推理可用于研究主磁场贡献,结果与14阶球谐函数的功率谱分析相匹配。
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