Abstract
The generalized statistical data on changes in the indexes of statistical parameters of the investigated process in time and on sociogeosystems is calculated and given. According to the results of the analysis of the dynamics of the indexes of the statistical parameters of the development of the geoecological situation in urban and district sociogeosystems, it has been established that for the entire study period (2013- 2017) the largest number of positive changes (growth) of parameters was noted for the cities of Pavlograd, Novomoskovsk and Sinelnikove. The largest number of negative changes (diminishing) of parameters was noted for the cities of Dnipro, Vilnogirsk, Nikopol and Kam’yanske. These data characterize the stability of the dynamics of the geoecological situation in cities. It was determined that the district sociogeosystems are even more differentiated by changing the indices of statistical parameters of thedevelopment of the geoecological situation in comparison with the urban ones. More positive changes are characteristic for Novomoskovsk, Krynichansky, Mezhivskyy, Shirokivsky and Vasylkivsky districts; the majority of the negative - forApostolivsky, Pavlogradsky, Petropavlivsky, Pyatihatsky and Yurievsky districts. The statistical analysis of changes in the indexes in the context of the calculation periods gave reason to assert the existence of rather complex and contradictory time patterns of the development of the geoecological situation in the district sociogeosystems, but in the vast majority of cases they coincide with the results of modeling the trajectory of the process. The analysis of changes in the indices of statistical parameters of the geoecological situation for each city and district sociogeosystem has allowed us to group the parameters by the frequency of positive and negative changes. The classification of the development of the geoecological situation in the sociogeosystems is carried out on the criterion of the sum of codes of changes in the indexes of statistical parameters. The calculated sum of the codes of changes of the indexes of parameters for each sociogeosystemmakes it possibleto purposefully manage the process of formation and development of the geoecological situation in the sociogeosystems. A similar analysis was carried out for all parameters of the development of the geoecological situation, which showed that according to the dynamics of the indices, they differ significantly for cities and districts.
Highlights
Geoecological problems of Dnipropetrovsk region, as an old industrial region (OIR), in the vast majority of cases are not specific, because they are characteristic of all OIR
When solving application problems of controlling the process, optimizing it, monitoring or forecasting, a quantitative component analysis is needed, which identifies specific corrective changes in the control parameters of the process. Results and their analysis.Due to the large volume of tabular material, it is impossible to present all the results of calculations in the article; we will explain that the estimated data of our study reflect changes in the indices of statistical parameters of the development of the geoecological situation in the
Of the fifteen indices that have the highest sum of the codes of change for urban and district SGSs, only three correspond to the parameters: number of enterprises and organizations of the Unified State Register of Enterprises and Organizations of Ukraine, the mortality rate and the total number of dead
Summary
Geoecological problems of Dnipropetrovsk region, as an old industrial region (OIR), in the vast majority of cases are not specific, because they are characteristic of all OIR. They are generated by one ideologically deterministic goal – the achievement of the highest possible level of industrial development and production at any price. The principles of democracy, social justice and care for every person, which are declared as founding principles of an independent and sovereign Ukraine, have not been introduced into public life.As a result, the geoecological problems of the OIR remained unresolved, and the new generation of Ukrainians continues to suffer from a contaminated atmosphere, lack of clean water and environmentally friendly food
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