Abstract

Abstract In this paper, the discharge coefficient prediction model for this structure in a subcritical flow regime is first established by extreme learning machine (ELM) and Bayesian network, and the model's performance is analyzed and verified in detail. In addition, the global sensitivity analysis method is introduced to the optimal prediction model to analyze the sensitivity for the dimensionless parameters affecting the discharge coefficient. The results show that the Bayesian extreme learning machine (BELM) can effectively predict the discharge coefficients of the symmetric stepped labyrinth side weir. The range of 95% confidence interval [−0.055,0.040] is also significantly smaller than that of the ELM ([−0.089,0.076]) and the Kernel extreme learning machine (KELM) ([−0.091,0.081]) at the testing stage. The dimensionless parameter ratio of upstream water depth of stepped labyrinth side weir p/y1 has the greatest effect on the discharge coefficient Cd, accounting for 55.57 and 54.17% under single action and other parameter interactions, respectively. Dimensionless step number bs/L has little effect on Cd, which can be ignored. Meanwhile, when the number of steps is less (N = 4) and the internal head angle is smaller (θ = 45°), a larger discharge coefficient value can be obtained.

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