Abstract

Yejube is one of the rapidly developing towns in Ethiopia. Difficulties of acceptable water supplies and reduction of non-revenue water remains one of the main challenges facing Yejube water supply system. This study is concentration on the analysis of water demand scenario and future water demand forecasting of for Yejube town. A mixed cross-sectional research method was implemented to analyzed the past and future water demand of the town. The outcome of this study found that the municipal average daily water consumption per capita was 14.3l/c/day and 16l/c/day respectively in 2017 and 2018. The water supply coverage of the town is low when we compare the regional and international standards. Water production and demand are unbalanced, due to continuous interruption of the water supply system inhabitants are facing water related problems. And also, 20.38% and 24% of the water production lost in the distribution system before reaching to the end customers. The population of the town in 2040 expected to reach 24807 with an average daily per capita water consumption of 36.7l/day. Generally, delivery of hygienic Water Supply is one of the key influencing factors that significantly subsidize to the socioeconomic renovation of a country by enlightening the health thereby increasing life standard and economic productivity of the society. Therefore, accurate forecast of future water demand plays a crucial role in optimizing the need for potable water resources and effective water allocation among competing users. Keywords : forecasting, unaccounted for water, water demand forecast, water demand, Yejube town, DOI: 10.7176/CER/12-3-02 Publication date: March 31 st 2020

Highlights

  • The analysis is focused on the evaluation of existing water supply coverage in the town based on the produced and billed water consumption and population of the town, forecasting of water demand for the 20 years

  • Water demand forecasting is a vital element in urban planning and sustainable development of a city

  • This study presents water demand scenario analysis in the past as well as future years according to the ministry of water resource urban water supply universal access plan and world bank design criteria

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

The study will focus on assessing the potable drinking water supply system current and future demand scenario in Yejube town. Due to the lake of available data and unreliable past records, simple coefficient forecast method was used to forecast and analysis the future water demand and water loss in the area. Both qualitative and quantitative analysis techniques were used for data analysis and interpretation

RESULT
Average per capita demand coverage
Climatic Grouping of the Town
Socio-economic adjustment factors
Non domestic water demand of the Town
Public and Institutional Water Demand
Industrial water demand
Animal Demand
Water Requirement for Fire Fighting
Average per capita Day Demand
Variation in demand
Maximum daily demand
Peak hour demand
Findings
CONCLUSION
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