Abstract
The evolution of monthly runoff is affected both by climate environment and human activities, and its characteristics play an important role in runoff prediction and simulation. In this paper, the G-P and the principal component analysis method, which are both based on the reconstruction theory of the phase space, are used to study the chaos characteristics of the monthly runoff series at Fudedian station in Liaohe basin. The results show that the monthly runoff series have a large probability of chaos.
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