Analysis of an empirical seismic fragility prediction model of wooden roof truss buildings

Abstract

To explore the vulnerability of wood roof truss buildings (WRTBs) under earthquake action, the empirical damage typical characteristics of 12,343.4 × 104 m2 and 21,490 buildings of this type of building that suffered different degrees of loss in 22 typical destructive earthquakes in China from 1993 to 2013 were observed and analysed. Based on the analysis methods of the nonlinear vulnerability model, probability statistics, and prediction model, a novel fragility probability matrix, plane, surface, nonlinear regression curve, and function model of different intensity zones under the latest Chinese macrointensity standard (GB/T 17742–2020, CMS-20) assessment were established, and vulnerability curve models were employed based on the damage ratio (DR) and actual cumulative damage probability (ACDP) parameters. According to 1993–1999, 2000–2010, and after 2011, the time-varying fragility specimen data were classified and censusly analysed. The fragility prediction curve models of DR and ACDP were performed using the probabilistic demand modal analysis method. Combined with the matrix probability and confidence interval calculation model, a novel regional mean fragility index domain model for typical structural (WRTB) vulnerability assessment was developed.