Abstract
The existence of a minimum storage capacity of grains as a condition for the maintenance of regulator physical stocks has been used as a strategic factor in the agribusiness expansion. However, in Brazil the storage infrastructure has not followed the growth of the agricultural sector. This fact is evident in the case of soybeans that currently represent 49% of grain production in the country, whose volume production has been increasing significantly over the years. This study aimed to predict the futureï€ needs of static storage capacity of soybeans from historical data to estimate the investment needed to install storage units in Brazil for the next five years. A statistic analysis of collected data allowed a forecast and identification of the number of storage units that should be installed to meet the storage needs of soybeans in the next five years. It was concluded that by 2015 the soybean storage capacity should be 87 million tons, and to store 49% of soybeans produced, 1,104 storage units should be installed at a cost of R$ 442 million.
Highlights
Soybean is one of crops with greater economic significance in Brazil
The grain storage and maintenance of regulator physical stocks have often been used as a strategic factor in the expansion of the agricultural business
According to the eighth grain survey of CONAB (2012), the production is expected to be 160,060,000 tons in 2011/2012 harvest, while the Brazilian static storage capacity should be 192 million tons. This static storage capacity registered in Brazil is currently 142.51 million tons, showing a deficit of 49.49 million tons, showing that the storage infrastructure for agricultural products in the country has not matched the growth of production in this sector (CONAB, 2012)
Summary
According to data from the National Food Supply Company - CONAB (2012), it currently corresponds to 49% of the cultivated areas of grains in the country and, for the 2011-2012 season is expected to produce 75.31 million tons with an average productivity of 3,000kg ha-1. According to the eighth grain survey of CONAB (2012), the production is expected to be 160,060,000 tons in 2011/2012 harvest, while the Brazilian static storage capacity should be 192 million tons. This static storage capacity registered in Brazil is currently 142.51 million tons, showing a deficit of 49.49 million tons, showing that the storage infrastructure for agricultural products in the country has not matched the growth of production in this sector (CONAB, 2012)
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