Analysing Trends and Spatio-Temporal Variability of Precipitation in the Main Central Rift Valley Lakes Basin, Ethiopia

Abstract

This study aims to investigate trends and spatiotemporal variability of precipitation during the period of 1980-2015 in the Main Central Ethiopian Rift Valley Lakes Basin. Mann-Kendall (MK) and Sen’s Slope (SS) estimation were used to detect the trends and magnitudes respectively. The Inverse Distance Weighting method was employed for spatial interpolations. The results revealed that the rainfalls had experienced less concentrated and highly variable in the central rift floor. The trend analysis showed that out of 21 stations, 4 stations (Koshe, Bulbula, Kofole and Shashamane) in annual; six stations (Koshe, Bulbula, Tora, Wulberg, Wondogenet, and Shashamane) in spring; and only one station (Shashamane) in summer showed significantly decreasing trends with -4.5 to -15.59 mm/year range. All stations in spring rainfall revealed no positive trends. Conversely, in both annual and summer rainfall statistically significant increasing trends exhibited for Ejersalelle and Adamitulu with 6.4 to 7.94mm/year range. In monthly time scales, the significant decreasing and increasing trends were also investigated for a few stations. Increasing trends could lead to an increase in potential for water resources whereas variability and decreasing trends could boost over-exploitation of water resources. This study would be provided useful information for management of water resources in the study area.