Analysing the day/night seasonal and annual changes and trends in land surface temperature and surface urban heat island intensity (SUHII) for Indian cities

Urban heat islands (UHIs) aggravate urban heat stress and, therefore, exacerbate heat-related morbidity and mortality as global warming continues. Numerous studies used surface urban heat island intensity (SUHII) to quantify the change in the UHI effect and its drivers for heat mitigation. However, whether the variations in SUHII among cities can demonstrate the physical difference and fluctuation of the urban thermal environment is poorly understood. Here, we present a comparison study on the temporal trends of SUHII and LST in urban and nonurban areas in 13 cities of the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) megaregion in China and further identify different types of changes in SUHII based on the temporal trends of land surface temperature (LST) in urban and nonurban areas from 2000 to 2020. We also measured the effect of the changes in four socioecological factors (i.e., population density, vegetation greenness (EVI), GDP, and built-up area) on the trends of SUHII to understand the dynamic interaction between the UHI effect and socioecological development. We found the following. (1) Nine out of thirteen cities showed a significant increasing trend in SUHII, indicating that the SUHI effects have been intensified in most of the cities in the BTH megaregion. (2) The spatial pattern of summer mean SUHII and LST in urban areas varied greatly. Among the 13 cities, Beijing had the highest mean SUHII, but Handan had the highest urban temperature, which suggests that a city with stronger SUHII does not necessarily have a higher urban temperature or hazardous urban thermal environment. (3) Four types of changes in SUHII were identified in the 13 cities, which resulted from different temporal trends of LST in urban areas and nonurban areas. In particular, one type of increasing trend of SUHII in seven cities resulted from a greater warming trend (increasing LST) in urban than nonurban areas (SUHII↑1), and another type of increasing trend of SUHII in Beijing and Chengde was attributed to the warming trends (increasing LST) in urban areas and the cooling trends (decreasing LST) in nonurban areas (SUHII↑2). Meanwhile, the third type of increasing trend of SUHII in Zhangjiakou was due to a greater cooling (decreasing LST) trend in nonurban areas than in urban areas (SUHII↑3). In contrast, three cities with a decreasing trend of SUHII were caused by the increase in LST in urban and nonurban areas, but the warming trend in nonurban areas was greater than in urban areas (SUHII↓1). (4) Among the relationship between the trend of SUHII (TrendSUHII) and the changes in socioecological factors (Trendpopulation density, TrendGDP per captica, TrendEVI, and Trendbuild-up area), a significantly positive correlation between TrendSUHII and TrendEVI indicated that the change in SUHII was significantly related to an increased rate of EVI. This is mainly because increased vegetation in nonurban areas would result in lower temperatures in nonurban areas.

Dense population, rapid urbanization, and industrialization make India a highly vulnerable country to the consequences of global warming. This study examines spatiotemporal trends of diurnal land surface temperature (LST) over the past 25years (2000-2024) and analyzes the surface urban heat island (SUHI) intensities across the country and for 50 major cities, respectively, including the influence of zonal biogeography. The significance of the LST trends is statistically confirmed by using the Mann-Kendall test and zonal heterogeneity is analyzed by using ANOVAtest. The study covers total span of 25years (2000-2024) which is classified in two periods, pre-COVID-19years (2000-2019) and including the post-COVID-19years (2000-2024). In the period from 2000 to 2019, the mean LST variability range (minimum to maximum) has substantially widened by 7.8°C and 2.3°C for daytime and nighttime, respectively. The LST change during the COVID-19 period was significantly hindered; the change in daytime and nighttime LST for May month was 0.18°C and 0.04°C, respectively, whereas during 2020-2024, it has become -1.24°C and -0.2°C, respectively. In general, the zones follow the country-level LST trends for 2000-2019 as well as for 2020-2024 periods, with variable LST change rates. The highest annual daytime LST growth (+ 0.15year-1) is observed for the Desert (DES) zone, whereas the highest nighttime LST rise (+ 0.07year-1) is observed for the Western Ghats (WG). Notably, the Himalaya and Trans-Himalaya (HTH) zones exhibit negative LST growth rate (-0.08 and -0.09 for daytime and nighttime, respectively). Further, SUHI analysis indicates that the cities within theIndo-Gangetic Plain (IGP), Semi-Arid Region (SAR), Deccan Plateau (DP), and Western Coastal Region (WCR) zones are found to be largely impacted by SUHI intensification, ranging between 1 and 5°Cfor daytime as well as nighttime. Interestingly, even trivial SUHI values of DES cities (1-3°C for daytime) could be consequential, as the zonal LST is extremely high. The study points out the requirement of urgent policy intervention and mitigation measures.

Urban expansion has been changing the urban thermal environment. Understanding the spatial distribution and temporal trends in the urban thermal environment is important in guiding sustainable urbanization. In this study, we focused on the land use/land cover (LULC) changes and urban expansion in Nanchang city, Jiangxi province, China. The four elements in the remote sensing-based ecological index (RSEI) are heat, greenness, dryness, and wetness, which correspond to the land surface temperature (LST), NDVI, NDBSI, and WET, respectively. According to the synthetic images of the average indices, we conducted temporal trend analysis together with statistical significance test for these images. We conducted partial correlation analyses between LST and NDVI, NDVSI, as well as WET. In addition, we used the LULC maps to analyze the multi-year trends in urban expansion. Then, we superimposed the trends in daytime and nighttime LST in summer on urban expansion area to extract the LST trends at sample locations. The results showed that LULC in Nanchang has substantially changed during the study period. The areas with statistically significant trends in LST coincided with the urban expansion areas. Land cover change was the main reason for LST change in Nanchang. In particular, artificial surfaces showed the greatest increase in LST; for per 100 km2 expansion in artificial surfaces, the daytime and nighttime LST increased by 0.8 °C and 0.7 °C, respectively. Among all the study land cover types, water bodies showed the greatest differences in LST change between the daytime and nighttime. There were statistically significant correlations between increases in LST and increases in NDBSI as well as decreases in NDVI and WET. In view of the considerable impact of urban expansion on the urban thermal environment, we urge local authorities to emphasize on urban greening when carrying out urban planning and construction.

Urban air temperature studies usually focus on the urban canopy heat island phenomenon, whereby the city center experiences higher near surface air temperatures compared to its surrounding non-urban areas. The Land Surface Temperature (LST) is used instead of urban air temperature to identify the Surface Urban Heat Island (SUHI). In this study, the nighttime LST and SUHI characteristics and trends in the seventeen largest Mediterranean cities were investigated, by analyzing satellite observations for the period 2001–2012. SUHI averages and trends were based on an innovative approach of comparing urban pixels to randomly selected non-urban pixels, which carries the potential to better standardize satellite-derived SUHI estimations. A positive trend for both LST and SUHI for the majority of the examined cities was documented. Furthermore, a 0.1 °C decade−1 increase in urban LST corresponded to an increase in SUHI by about 0.04 °C decade−1. A longitudinal differentiation was found in the urban LST trends, with higher positive values appearing in the eastern Mediterranean. Examination of urban infrastructure and development factors during the same period revealed correlations with SUHI trends, which can be used to explain differences among cities. However, the majority of the cities examined show considerably increased trends in terms of the enhancement of SUHI. These findings are considered important so as to promote sustainable urbanization, as well as to support the development of heat island adaptation and mitigation plans in the Mediterranean.

This study assessed the relationship between land surface temperature (LST) and vegetation using MODIS NDVI and LST timeseries data in Kaduna Metropolis. MOD13Q1 and MOD11A2 datasets were accessed using Google Earth Engine. Mann-Kendall trend test was used to analyse the trends in LST and NDVI. Pearson Moment Correlation Coefficient and Linear Regression were used to examine the relationship between LST and NDVI. Mann-Kendall trend test revealed monotonic downward trend in NDVI with a Z-statistics of -1.2758, but upward trend in daytime and nighttime LST, with a Z-statistics of 0.567 and 2.107 respectively. For the relationship, vegetation showed strong negative relationship with daytime LST with -0.704. Vegetation also showed weak positive relationship with nighttime LST. The linear regression analysis revealed that vegetation was able to predict 49.5% of LST in Kaduna Metropolis, with R2 value of 0.495 and a standard error of estimate is 2.459. The study concluded that loss of vegetation is responsible for the increase in land surface temperature. The study therefore recommended regulatory agencies should ensure that trees are planted whenever they are removed due to infrastructural development in order to prevent UHI phenomenon and planting of trees should be encouraged in order to regulate the urban climate.

Recent trends of land surface temperature in relation to the influencing factors using Google Earth Engine platform and time series products in megacities of India

Land cover change effects on land surface temperature trends in an African urbanizing dryland region

Daily air temperature is a measurement that is required by many biogeochemical models. This study compared daily maximum (T max), minimum (T min) and mean (T mean) air temperature observations collected at 678 standard meteorological stations of China in 2003 with estimates derived from daytime and night-time land surface temperature (LST) observed by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on board TERRA and AQUA satellites. Correlation analysis showed that the determination coefficients (R 2 > 0.81) between models using night-time LSTs and the observed air temperatures were higher than those using daytime LSTs (R 2 > 0.57), but with significant seasonal variation. Though estimates derived from coupled daytime and night-time LSTs were more accurate than using night-time or daytime LSTs alone, the available pixels were substantially reduced. Four empirical models were established for T max, T min and T mean with MODIS night-time LSTs alone, or with coupled daytime and night-time LSTs, respectively. Solar declination was incorporated into the models to simulate seasonal variation of the correlations. Model validation showed that percentage of residuals within –3°C to 3°C ranged approximately from 60.2% to 74.3%, 64.4% to 69.9% and 76.8% to 85.7% for T max, T min and T mean, respectively. It was concluded that night-time LST was the optimum predictor for estimating daily T min, T mean and even T max when considering both the performance of the models and the availability of the LST data. Moreover, there was no significant difference between LSTs of TERRA and AQUA for estimating daily air temperatures.

Surface urban heat island (SUHI) in the context of urbanization has gained much attention in recent decades; however, the seasonal variations of SUHI and their drivers are still not well documented. In this study, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) urban agglomeration, one of the most typical areas experiencing drastic urbanization in China, was selected to study the SUHI intensity (SUHII) based on remotely sensed land surface temperature (LST) data. Pure and unchanged urban and rural pixels from 2000 to 2010 were chosen to avoid non-concurrency between land cover data and LST data and to estimate daytime and nighttime thermal effects of urbanization. Different patterns of the seasonal variations were found in daytime and nighttime SUHIIs. Specifically, the daytime SUHII in summer (4 °C) was more evident than in other seasons while a cold island phenomenon was found in winter; the nighttime SUHII was always positive and higher than the daytime one in all the seasons except summer. Moreover, we found the highest daytime SUHII in August, which is the growing peak stage of summer maize, while nighttime SUHII showed a trough in the same month. Seasonal variations of daytime SUHII showed higher significant correlations with the seasonal variations of ∆LAI (leaf area index) (R2 = 0.81, r = −0.90) compared with ∆albedo (R2 = 0.61, r = −0.78) and background daytime LST (R2 = 0.69, r = 0.83); moreover, agricultural practices (double-cropping system) played an important role in the seasonal variations of daytime SUHII. Seasonal variations of the nighttime SUHII did not show significant correlations with either of seasonal variations of ∆LAI, ∆albedo, and background nighttime LST, which implies different mechanisms in nighttime SUHII variation needing future studies.

Numerous studies have shown an increased surface urban heat island intensity (SUHII) in many cities with urban expansion. Few studies, however, have investigated whether such intensification is mainly caused by urban warming, the cooling of surrounding nonurban regions, or the different rates of warming/cooling between urban and nonurban areas. This study aims to fill that gap using Beijing, China, as a case study. We first examined the temporal trends of SUHII in Beijing and then compared the magnitude of the land surface temperature (LST) trend in urban and nonurban areas. We further detected the temporal trend of LST (TrendLST) at the pixel level and explored its linkage to the temporal trends of EVI (TrendEVI) and NDBI (TrendNDBI). We used MODIS data from 2000 to 2015. We found that (1) SUHII significantly increased from 4.35 °C to 6.02 °C, showing an intensified surface urban heat island (SUHI) effect, with an annual increase rate of 0.13 °C in summer during the daytime and 0.04 °C in summer at night. In addition, the intensification of SUHII was more prominent in new urban areas (NUA). (2) The intensified SUHII, however, was largely caused by substantial cooling effects in nonurban areas (NoUA), not substantial warming in urban areas. (3) Spatially, there were large spatial variations in significant warming and cooling spots over the entire study area, which were related to TrendNDBI and TrendEVI. TrendNDBI significantly affected TrendLST in a positive way, while the TrendEVI had a significant positive effect (p = 0.023) on TrendLST only when EVI had an increasing trend. Our study underscores the importance of quantifying and comparing the changes in LST in both urban and nonurban areas when investigating changes in SUHII using time-series trend analysis. Such analysis can provide insights into promoting city-based urban heat mitigation strategies which focused on both urban and nonurban areas.

<p>The present work deals with the time series analysis of remotely sensed Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Land Surface Temperature (LST). While many works have been published concerning the trends of nighttime and daytime LST at the regional or local scale, little attention has been paid to structural changes observed within the LST time series in various sub-periods. This could be of much interest not only for climate studies but also for unveiling the possible relation between natural disasters such as wildfires and global changes. In this work we tested the hypothesis of a constant trend in LST time series from 2000 to 2019 and highlighted the existence of periods with changing trends. The methodology was applied in an area of approximately 17.000 km<sup>2</sup> located in NE Greece and South Bulgaria. The nighttime and daytime LST time series data were initially subjected to a gap filling algorithm to account for missing values and were then aggregated at the catchment level. Furthermore, LST time series were analyzed using the Breaks For Additive Season and Trend (BFAST) method. Results indicated that an abrupt change in both nighttime and daytime LST trends was observed in all examined time series, indicating a transition from a decreasing LST regime from 2002 to 2006 to an abrupt increasing thereafter until today. An initial comparison with the existing inventory of wildfires in the area for the last 20 years indicated an increase of wildfire events which coincides with the LST breakpoint, indicating thus possible connections between rising LST and wildfire events.</p>

This study aimed at using remote sensing methodology to assess the daytime surface urban heat island (SUHI) in Lagos metropolis. Several studies have examined the SUHI, using point data from meteorological stations. However, it has been shown in the literature recently that it is practically impossible to accurately value the intensity of SUHI from ground meteorological measurement due to heterogeneity and complexity of surface temperature over land. Therefore a time series of Landsat data, from 1984 to 2012, were used in the present study to assess spatial and temporal variability in the contribution of source and sink landscape to daytime SUHI in Lagos. This study uses remote sensing methods because Lagos has a strong heterogeneity of land surface characteristics; with several drainage, vegetation, built-up and soil between the coast and mainland, thus the land surface temperature (LST) changes rapidly in space and time. The results from this study show differences in the contribution of source and sink landscape to SUHI. The main findings from the results show that source landscape contributes positively to the intensity of SUHI in Lagos metropolis. The results show a general increase in mean LST during the periods of study from 1984 to 2012. The north-west (NW) zone of Lagos has highest LST compared to other zones. In 1984, the mean LST of NW zone was 300.53 K, but increased to 301.85 K in 2000 and 302.85 K in 2012. Although contributions from the landscapes differ by zones and time, much more intensified LST was noted in the NW zone of the city. The study find out that change in landcover has been the most important driver of intensified SUHI in Lagos metropolis. NW zone recorded the highest increased in built-up area throughout the years: 320.32 km2 in 1984, 535.28 km2 in 2000 and 630.70 km2 in 2012. This study demonstrates therefore that it is possible to assess spatial distribution and long-term temporal evolution of the LST in urban area, using remote sensing data. Also the results shows that remote sensing methods offer possibility for measuring LST over complete spatially averaged rather than point values. The results from this study further our understanding that not only the SUHI is frequent to cities in developed countries, but the effects are also obvious in several urban settlements in tropical countries.

In our current global warming climate, the growth of record-breaking heat waves (HWs) is expected to increase in its frequency and intensity. Consequently, the considerably growing and agglomerated world’s urban population becomes more exposed to serious heat-related health risks. In this context, the study of Surface Urban Heat Island (SUHI) intensity during HWs is of substantial importance due to the potential vulnerability urbanized areas might have to HWs in comparison to their surrounding rural areas. This article discusses Land Surface Temperatures (LST) reached during the extreme HW over Western North America during the boreal summer of 2021 using Thermal InfraRed (TIR) imagery acquired from TIR Sensor (TIRS) (30 m spatial resolution) onboard Landsat-8 platform and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) (1 km spatial resolution) onboard Terra/Aqua platforms. We provide an early assessment of maximum LSTs reached over the affected areas, as well as impacts in terms of SUHI over the main cities and towns. MODIS series of LST from 2000 to 2021 over urbanized areas presented the highest recorded LST values in late June 2021, with maximum values around 50 °C for some cities. High spatial resolution LSTs (Landsat-8) were used to map SUHI intensity as well as to assess the impact of SUHI on thermal comfort conditions at intraurban space by means of a thermal environmental quality indicator, the Urban Field Thermal Variance Index (UFTVI). The same high resolution LSTs were used to verify the existence of clusters and employ a Local Indicator of Spatial Association (LISA) to quantify its degree of strength. We identified the spatial distribution of heat patterns within the intraurban space as well as described its behavior across the thermal landscape by fitting a polynomial regression model. We also qualitatively analyze the relationship between both UFTVI and LST clusters with different land cover types. Findings indicate that average daytime SUHI intensity for the studied cities was typically within 1 to 5 °C, with some exceptional values surpassing 7 °C and 9 °C. During night, the SUHI intensity was reduced to variations within 1–3 °C, with a maximum value of +4 °C. The extreme LSTs recorded indicate no significant influence of HW on SUHI intensity. SUHI intensity maps of the intraurban space evidence hotspots of much higher values located at densely built-up areas, while urban green spaces and dense vegetation show lower values. In the same manner, UTFVI has shown “no” SUHI for densely vegetated regions, water bodies, and low-dense built-up areas with intertwined dense vegetation, while the “strongest” SUHI was observed for non-vegetated dense built-up areas with low albedo material such as concrete and pavement. LST was evidenced as a good marker for assessing the influence of HWs on SUHI and recognizing potential thermal environmental consequences of SUHI intensity. This finding highlights that remote-sensing based LST is particularly suitable as an indicator in the analysis of SUHI intensity patterns during HWs at different spatial resolutions. LST used as an indicator for analyzing and detecting extreme temperature events and its consequences seems to be a promising means for rapid and accurate monitoring and mapping.

Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a key parameter for the estimation of urban fluxes as well as for the assessment of the presence and strength of the surface urban heat island (SUHI). In an urban environment, LST depends on the way the city has been planned and developed over time. To this end, the estimation of LST needs adequate spatial and temporal data at the urban scale, especially with respect to land cover/land use. The present study is divided in two parts: at first, satellite data from MODIS-Terra 8-day product (MOD11A2) were used for the analysis of an eighteen-year time series (2001–2017) of the LST spatial and temporal distribution in five major cities of the Mediterranean during the summer months. LST trends were retrieved and assessed for their statistical significance. Secondly, LST values and trends for each city were examined in relation to land cover characteristics and patterns in order to define the contribution of urban development and planning on LST; this information is important for the drafting of smart urbanization policies and measures. Results revealed (a) positive LST trends in the urban areas especially during nighttime ranging from +0.412 °K in Marseille to +0.923 °K in Cairo and (b) the SUHI has intensified during the last eighteen years especially during daytime in European Mediterranean cities, such as Rome (+0.332 °K) and Barcelona (+0.307 °K).

ABSTRACTSystematically investigating the spatial and dynamic variations in surface urban heat island (SUHI) and their relationships with vegetation is needed in the context of sustainable urban development. In this study, the regional differences in the spatial and temporal variations in SUHI intensity (SUHII) were quantified, and their correlations with vegetation activity were analyzed in Beijing during 2001–2013, based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer land cover/land use, land surface temperature, normalized difference vegetation index and digital elevation model. The results show that the 13-year averaged daytime SUHII presenting obvious seasonal variations was the highest (2.61°C) in urban core area and the lowest (−2.09°C) in rural area. The night-time SUHII was relatively stable in season, showing the highest SUHII (2.47°C) in urban core area and the lowest SUHII (−1.25°C) in rural area. The annual daytime SUHII decreased apparently in urban core (−0.28°C), urban (−0.10°C) and rural (−0.58°C) areas. The annual night-time SUHII increased weakly in urban core (0.20°C), urban (0.02°C) and suburban (0.08°C) areas. Correlation analyses indicate that the SUHII was negatively and significantly correlated with vegetation activity except in winter days. In addition, the significant negative correlations between daytime SUHII change and vegetation change were observed except in winter. In contrast, the correlation between night-time SUHII change and vegetation change was not observed.