ANALISIS SISTEM PELAYANAN KERETA API DI STASIUN SEMARANG TAWANG MENGGUNAKAN PROSES BAYESIAN

Abstract

Along with the times, transportation has progressed. Regarding the means of transportation, one of the phenomenon that is easily encountered in everyday life is the queue at public transportation facilities. One of the queues that occurred at public transportation facilities is the train queue at Semarang Tawang Station. The number of trains that passes the station can cause the train service at the station busy. This study aims to see whether the train service system of Semarang Tawang Station is good or not. This can be consider by the queues method, determining the distribution of arrival patterns and service patterns to obtain a queues system model and a system performance standard. In this study, the distribution of arrival patterns and service patterns are determined by calculating the posterior distribution using the Bayesian method. The bayesian method was chosen because it is able to combine the sample distribution in the current study with the previous information for the same cases. The prior distribution and the likelihood function are the elements needed to obtain the posterior distribution. The distribution of arrival patterns and service patterns obtained from previous information follows the Poisson distribution. Based on the calculation of the posterior distribution, the result shows that the distribution of the arrival pattern is a discrete uniform distribution and the distribution of the service pattern is a Poisson distribution. The result shows that the train service system at Semarang Tawang Station has a model (Uniform Discrete / Gamma / 7: GD / ~ / ~) and has good service based on the performance values obtained.