Abstract

Hydrological drought is water deficit from normal conditions on the hydrological system. Hydrological drought occurs through a complex process preceded by a rainfall deficit. The series of processes that show a change of drought signals through the hydrological cycle is expressed as drought propagation. This study aims to identify the characteristics of hydrological and meteorological drought and to identify meteorological drought propagation to hydrological drought through Larona Watershade. Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is used as indicator to identify meteorological drought while hydrological drought is characterised by Standardised Streamflow Index (SSI) with 1, 3, 6 and 12 months accumulation periods. Propagation meteorological drought to hydrological drought was analyzed using Pearson correlation. The results showed that duration and severity escalate by the increase in the accumulation period SPI and SSI. While the number of drought events is inversely proportional to the accumulation period SPI and SSI. Althought the number of hydrological drought events was fewer, but they occurred over longer duration and much severe than the meterological one. Severe hydrological drought (SSI 1 = -14.8) in 1997-1998 has declined water storage of Lake Towuti by 90% leading to reduction in Larona hydropower production. Furthermore, our findings provide promising approach to detect hydrological drought that may occur in the near future.

Highlights

  • Kekeringan merupakan bencana yang berkembang secara perlahan dan sering kali waktu awal dan akhir kejadian kekeringan sulit ditentukan

  • This study aims to identify the characteristics of hydrological and meteorological drought and to identify meteorological drought propagation to hydrological drought through Larona Watershade

  • The results showed that duration and severity escalate by the increase in the accumulation period Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardised Streamflow Index (SSI)

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Summary

Latar Belakang

Kekeringan merupakan bencana yang berkembang secara perlahan dan sering kali waktu awal dan akhir kejadian kekeringan sulit ditentukan. Kekeringan curah hujan disebut kekeringan meteorologi, kekeringan kelembaban tanah dinyatakan sebagai kekeringan pertanian serta kekeringan air bumi, aliran sungai dan danau yang dikenal dengan kekeringan hidrologi (Tallaksen dan Van Lanen, 2004; Van Loon dan Laaha, 2015). Perhitungan yang sederhana, penggunaan data yang minimal (hanya curah hujan) dan fleksibilitas SPI menjadikan metode ini disarankan World Meteorological Organization (WMO) sebagai indikator yang dipilih untuk memantau kekeringan meteorologi (Hayes et al, 2011). Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengidentifikasi kerakteristik kekeringan meteorologi dengan metode SPI dan hidrologi dengan SSI pada DAS Larona, mengenali hubungan kejadian kekeringan hidrologi dan kekeringan meteorologi serta mengidentifikasi pola penjalaran dan perlambatan kekeringan meteorologi menuju kekeringan hidrologi.

Lokasi dan Waktu
Bahan dan Alat
Analisis Data
Persiapan
Identifikasi karakteristik kekeringan meteorologi dan hidrologi
Weibull
Penjalaran kekeringan
Kondisi Hidrologi DAS
Karakteristik Kekeringan
Kekeringan Meteorologi
Kekeringan Hidrologi
Penjalaran Kekeringan
Kesimpulan

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