Abstract
This study aims to determine and analyze the availability and need of rice in North Sumatra Province and determine the factors that influence it. This type of research is a quantitative analysis using coherent secondary data from 2008-2017 in 33 districts / cities in North Sumatra Province. The data analysis technique used is Descriptive Analysis. To test the factors that influence the availability and need of rice in North Sumatra Province, multiple linear regression analysis is used and to determine the causal relationship between variables, we use Causal Relations Analysis. The results showed that rice production in North Sumatra Province was fluctuating in 2008-2017 and tended to increase by an average of 4.79 percent per year. The availability of this rice comes from local production and has met the needs of the community. This is indicated by the condition of the rice surplus in North Sumatra Province in 2017 which amounted to 1,065,886 tons. The availability of rice in North Sumatra Province on average has increased 5.27 percent per year. Based on the results of the study note that the rice production variable has a positive and significant effect on the availability of rice in North Sumatra Province, while other variables namely the rice harvest area variable and the need for rice consumption have no significant effect. GRDP income variable and rice availability variable significantly influence rice needs in North Sumatra Province, while the population number variable does not significantly influence rice demand.
Highlights
Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis ketersediaan dan kebutuhan beras di Provinsi Sumatera Utara serta mengetahui faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhinya
This study aims to determine and analyze the availability and need of rice in North Sumatra Province and determine the factors that influence it
The results showed that rice production in North Sumatra Province was fluctuating in 2008-2017 and tended to increase by an average of 4.79 percent per year
Summary
Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis ketersediaan dan kebutuhan beras di Provinsi Sumatera Utara serta mengetahui faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhinya. Jenis penelitian ini adalah analisis kuantitatif dengan menggunakan data sekunder runtut waktu tahun 2008-2017 pada 33 Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Hasil Penelitian menunjukkan produksi beras di Provinsi Sumatera Utara runtut waktu tahun 2008-2017 berfluktuatif dan cenderung mengalami peningkatan rata-rata 4,79 persen per tahun. Ini ditunjukkan dengan kondisi surplus beras Provinsi Sumatera Utara pada tahun 2017 yakni sebesar 1.065.886 Ton. Ketersediaan beras di Provinsi Sumatera Utara rata-rata mengalami kenaikan 5,27 persen per tahun. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian diketahui bahwa variabel produksi beras berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap ketersediaan beras di Provinsi Sumatera Utara, sementara variabel lainnya yakni variabel luas panen padi dan kebutuhan konsumsi beras tidak berpengaruh signifikan.
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