Abstract

This study aims to analyze; influence of benchmark interest rate and inflation on the USD exchange rate; influence of benchmark interest rate, inflation, coal price reference, and the USD exchange rate on the volume of Indonesia's lignite exports; whether the USD exchange rate mediates influence of benchmark interest rate and inflation on volume of Indonesia's lignite exports. This study uses monthly time series data from 2012-2021 so that 120 observations are obtained, technique used is path analysis. Research shows; 1) the benchmark interest rate and inflation have a negative significant effect on the USD exchange rate in 2012-2021; 2) the benchmark interest rate has a negative significant effect on the volume of Indonesia's lignite exports in 2012-2021, while inflation has no significant effect; 3) the USD exchange rate mediates the influence of the benchmark interest rate and inflation on the volume of Indonesia's lignite exports in 2012-2021.

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