Analisa Metode Backpropagation Dalam Memprediksi Jumlah Perusahaan Konstruksi Berdasarkan Provinsi di Indonesia

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the number of construction companies in Indonesia and gain an understanding of the trends and characteristics of the construction industry in that country. In this research, data related to the number of construction companies is analyzed using available sources such as government statistical reports, industry publications, and other secondary data sources. The data we use in this research is data on the number of construction companies by province in Indonesia from 2016-2021 which was taken from the website of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) using the backprogation artificial neural network (JST) method. The analysis results show that the number of construction companies in Indonesia has increased significantly in recent years. It is hoped that this research will encourage strong economic growth and increasing investment in the infrastructure and property sectors has driven demand for construction services. In addition, government policies that support the construction sector, such as infrastructure development programs and regulations that facilitate foreign investment, also contribute to the growth in the number of construction companies. Apart from growth trends, this research also identifies several characteristics of the construction industry in Indonesia. The industry is dominated by small and medium-sized companies operating locally, although there are also large companies involved in large-scale projects. Competition in this industry is fierce, with companies vying to win construction contracts and develop a competitive advantage. The architectural models that we use in this research are 6 architectural models, of which the best architectural model will be obtained. The architectural models include 5-11-1-1 with an accuracy percentage of 61.8%, 5-12-1- 1 with an accuracy percentage of 70.6%, 5-14-1-1 with an accuracy percentage of 82.4%, 5-18-1-1 with an accuracy percentage of 64.7%, 5-20-1-1 with an accuracy percentage of 70.6%, 5-22- 1-1 with an accuracy percentage of 73.5%. So the best architectural model is obtained, namely the 5-12-1-1 model which produces an accuracy rate of 82.4%. with a Mean Square Error (MSE) of 0.00099997 with an error prone of between 0.001-0.05. These results are quite good in predicting the number of construction companies based on provinces in Indonesia