Abstract

Background: Brazil, one of the largest greenhouse gas emitting countries in the world, emitted approximately 2 billion gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) in 2018. This data is practically the same recorded in the previous year, suggesting that the country’s trajectory of CO2 emissions is stabilized. Methods: This study presents an overview of environmental protection and climate change mitigation policies adopted in Brazil, as well as makes use the multilevel regression modeling technique to investigate the relationship between economic activities variables in relation to CO2 emissions over the years of 1970 to 2018 in all Brazilian states. Results: The results show that the CO2 emissions in the states have the same behavior as the timeline of the change in land use. Conclusions: The public policies and actions by society and the private sector were fundamental to the reduction verified from the year of 2004 that followed until 2010, both in CO2 emissions and in the change in land use and forests. As of this year, there has been a trend towards stability in CO2 emissions. Another important characteristic is that even with a drop in the number of deforestation, the production variables continued to grow, which shows that there may be an increase in production activities, while there is a reduction in deforestation and in CO2 emissions.

Highlights

  • The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change—Paris Agreement is a global commitment approved in 2015 by 195 countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, in order to keep the average earth temperature below 2 ◦C above pre-industrial revolution levels until the end of the century, and to promote efforts so that this warming does not exceed 1.5 ◦C [1]

  • At the close of the 23rd Conference of the Parties (COP 23), the government informed the international community of a 16% reduction of deforestation in the country; this information is confirmed in the survey results

  • This study investigates the main environmental protection and climate change mitigation policies adopted in Brazil and uses the multilevel regression modeling technique to investigate the relationship between economic activity variables in relation to CO2 emissions over the years 1970 to 2018 in all Brazilian states

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Summary

Introduction

The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change—Paris Agreement is a global commitment approved in 2015 by 195 countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, in order to keep the average earth temperature below 2 ◦C above pre-industrial revolution levels until the end of the century, and to promote efforts so that this warming does not exceed 1.5 ◦C [1]. Climate change is one of the main challenges facing humanity today, with important consequences for the environment, the society, the economy and the public policies These challenges represent an opportunity for countries to rethink their strategies for the future and to conduct their actions in accordance with the pillars of sustainable development. One of the largest greenhouse gas emitting countries in the world, emitted approximately 2 billion gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) in 2018 This data is practically the same recorded in the previous year, suggesting that the country’s trajectory of CO2 emissions is stabilized. Conclusions: The public policies and actions by society and the private sector were fundamental to the reduction verified from the year of 2004 that followed until 2010, both in CO2 emissions and in the change in land use and forests As of this year, there has been a trend towards stability in CO2 emissions. Another important characteristic is that even with a drop in the number of deforestation, the production variables continued to grow, which shows that there may be an increase in production activities, while there is a reduction in deforestation and in CO2 emissions

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