Abstract

Tropical cyclones (TC) are often associated with severe weather conditions which cause great losses to lives and property. The precise classification of cyclone tracks is significantly important in the field of weather forecasting. In this paper we propose a novel hybrid model that integrates ontology and Support Vector Machine (SVM) to classify the tropical cyclone tracks into four types of classes namely straight, quasi-straight, curving and sinuous based on the track shape. Tropical Cyclone TRacks Ontology (TCTRO) described in this paper is a knowledge base which comprises of classes, objects and data properties that represent the interaction among the TC characteristics. A set of SWRL (Semantic Web Rule Language) rules are directly inserted to the TCTRO ontology for reasoning and inferring new knowledge from ontology. Furthermore, we propose a learning algorithm which utilizes the inferred knowledge for optimizing the feature subset. According to experiments on the IBTrACS dataset, the proposed ontology based SVM classifier achieves an accuracy of 98.3% with reduced classification error rates.

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