An online optimal dispatch schedule for CCHP microgrids based on model predictive control

Abstract

Combined cooling, heating, and power (CCHP) systems have been widely applied in various kinds of buildings. Most operation strategies for CCHP microgrids are designed based on day-ahead profiles. However, prediction error for renewable energy resources (RES) and load leads to suboptimal operation in dispatch scheduling. In this paper, we propose an online optimal operation approach for CCHP microgrids based on model predictive control with feedback correction to compensate for prediction error. This approach includes two hierarchies: 1) rolling optimization; and 2) feedback correction. In the rolling part, a hybrid algorithm based on integrating time series analysis and Kalman filters is used to forecast the power for RES and load. A rolling optimization model is established to schedule operation according to the latest forecast information. The rolling dispatch scheduling is then adjusted based on ultrashort-term error prediction. The feedback correction model is applied to minimize the adjustments and to compensate for prediction error. A case study demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed approach with better matching between demand and supply.