Abstract

Accurate prediction of forthcoming oxygen concentration during waterless live fish transportation plays a key role in reducing the abnormal occurrence, increasing the survival rate in delivery operations, and optimizing manufacturing costs. The most effective ambient monitoring techniques that are based on the analysis of historical process data when performing forecasting operations do not fully consider current ambient influence. This is likely lead to a greater deviation in on-line oxygen level forecasting in real situations. Therefore, it is not advisable for the system to perform early warning and on-line air adjustment in delivery. In this paper, we propose a hybrid method and its implementation system that combines a gray model (GM (1, 1)) with least squares support vector machines (LSSVM) that can be used effectively as a forecasting model to perform early warning effectively according to the dynamic changes of oxygen in a closed system. For accurately forecasting of the oxygen level, the fuzzy C-means clustering (FCM) algorithm was utilized for classification according to the flatfish’s physical features—i.e., length and weight—for more pertinent training. The performance of the gray model-particle swarm optimization-least squares support vector machines (GM-PSO-LSSVM) model was compared with the traditional modeling approaches of GM (1, 1) and LSSVM by applying it to predict on-line oxygen level, and the results showed that its predictions were more accurate than those of the LSSVM and grey model. Therefore, it is a suitable and effective method for abnormal condition forecasting and timely control in the waterless live transportation of flatfish.

Highlights

  • For the Chinese domestic seafood farmer, live fish sales in seafood markets provide an important avenue through which to obtain high profit margins [1,2]

  • To analyze the forecasting capacity of the hybrid model based on GM-particle swarm optimization (PSO)-least squares support vector machines (LSSVM), the standard LSSVM and the grey model were selected for comparison with four forecasting lengths from 10 to 40 min

  • This paper designed a set of on-line ambient monitoring devices and modeled the oxygen level prediction of flatfish waterless live delivery

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Summary

Introduction

For the Chinese domestic seafood farmer, live fish sales in seafood markets provide an important avenue through which to obtain high profit margins [1,2]. Outside of the cost of producing or capturing seafood (as in catching fisheries) the primary cost associated with conventional delivery of live sea fish to market is the freight. If live sea fish are shipped at a ratio of 1:3 to water weight, 75% of fuel and transport costs are attributed to just haul water; in addition to the cost of maintaining temperature and oxygenation or aeration [6]. Shipping live fish without water is a proven method for relatively high survival in delivery for some sea fish, such as flatfish and Crucian carp. Sufficient margins can be obtained with lower energy consumption and very high volumes of live fish delivery; this is pertinent to economies of scale, which quickly cater for niche markets [7,8,9,10]

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