An observational study on the timing of intubation and outcome in COVID-19 ARDS patients who were treated with high flow nasal oxygen prior to invasive mechanical ventilation: A time series analysis (InOutHFNO trial).

Abstract

Prolonged high flow nasal oxygen (HFNO) application might delay intubation and increase mortality in acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) patients. Intubation in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) AHRF (CAHRF) patients 24 to 48 hours after HFNO initiation has been associated with increased mortality in previous studies. This cut-off period is variable in previous studies. A time series analysis could reflect more robust data on outcome in relation to HFNO duration before intubation in CAHRF. A retrospective study was conducted at 30-bedded ICU of a tertiary care teaching hospital from July 2020 to August 2021. The study cohort comprised 116 patients who required HFNO and were subsequently intubated following HFNO failure. A time series analysis of patient outcomes on each day of HFNO application prior to invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) was done. ICU and hospital mortality was 67.2%. Beyond day 4 of HFNO application, there was a trend towards increased risk-adjusted ICU and hospital mortality for each day delay in intubation of CAHRF patients on HFNO [OR 2.718; 95% CI 0.957-7.721; P 0.061]. This trend was maintained till day 8 of HFNO application, after which there was 100% mortality. Taking day four as a cut-off in the timeline of HFNO application, we have observed an absolute mortality benefit of 15% with early intubation despite a higher APACHE-IV score than the late intubation group. IMV beyond the 4th day of HFNO initiation in CAHRF patients increases mortality.