Abstract

The present paper introduces an iterative methodology to progressively reduce building simulation model complexity with the aim of identifying potential trade-offs between computational requirements (i.e., model complexity) and energy estimation accuracy. Different levels of model complexity are analysed, from commercial building energy simulation tools to low order calibrated thermal networks models. Experimental data from a residential building in Germany were collected and used to validate two detailed white-box models and a simplified white-box model. The validation process was performed in terms of internal temperature profiles and building thermal energy demand predictions. Synthetic profiles were generated from the validated models and used for calibrating high order models. A reduction (trimming) procedure was applied to reduce the model complexity using an energy performance criterion prior to model trimming. The proposed methodology has the advantage of keeping the physical structure of the original RC model, thus enabling the use of the trimmed lumped parameter building model for other applications. The analysis showed that it is possible to reduce the model complexity by half, while keeping the accuracy above 90% for the targeted building.

Highlights

  • Buildings account for about 36% of the total primary energy consumption and nearly 40% of total carbon emissions worldwide, with an increase trend of 1% per year [1]

  • The present paper addresses this issue by introducing a top-down methodology to reduce the complexity of building models, while retaining the model structure, capable of detecting the most suitable model order depending on the specific application requirement

  • Energy Plus provided the best accuracy with an average estimation error lower than 4%, while Integrated Simulation Environment Language (INSEL) and Building Energy Performance Simulator (BEPS) showed slightly less accuracy, with average values below 7% and 9%, respectively

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Summary

Introduction

Buildings account for about 36% of the total primary energy consumption and nearly 40% of total carbon emissions worldwide, with an increase trend of 1% per year [1]. The efforts towards the so-called net zero energy buildings (NZEB) require buildings to be prosumer, a neologism built by the portmanteau of producer and consumer, which highlights the duality of both producing and consuming energy. Such local and widespread generation, which includes the deployment of renewable energy systems, result in an increase of the variability at the demand side level [4,5]. This aspect represents a challenge for the power grid, since it may lead to grid congestion and atypical power flows, which would stress the stability of the transmission and distribution grids.

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