Abstract

Abstract. Cloud droplet number concentration prediction is central to large-scale weather and climate modelling. The benchmark cloud parcel model calculation of aerosol particle growth and activation, by diffusion of vapour to aerosol particles in a rising parcel of air experiencing adiabatic expansion, is too computationally expensive for use in large-scale global models. Therefore the process of activation of aerosol particles into cloud droplets is parameterised with an aim to strike the optimum balance between numerical expense and accuracy. We present a detailed systematic evaluation of three cloud droplet activation parameterisations that are widely used in large-scale models and one recent update. In all cases, it is found that there is a tendency to overestimate the fraction of activated aerosol particles when the aerosol particle "median diameter" is large (between 250 and 2000 nm) in a single lognormal mode simulation. This is due to an infinite "effective simulation time" of the parameterisations compared to a prescribed simulation time in the parcel model. This problem arises in the parameterisations because it is assumed that a parcel of air rises to the altitude where maximum supersaturation occurs, regardless of whether this altitude is above the cloud top. Such behaviour is problematic because, in some cases, large aerosol can completely suppress the activation of drops. In some cases when the "median diameter" is small (between 5 and 250 nm) in a single lognormal mode the fraction of activated drops is underestimated by the parameterisations. Secondly, it is found that in dual-mode cases there is a systematic tendency towards underestimation of the fraction of activated drops, which is due to the methods used by the parameterisations to approximate the sink of water vapour.

Highlights

  • Clouds are important components in understanding climate change and must be accurately represented in largescale weather and climate models so that we can make realistic future climate predictions

  • A change in the concentration of the subset of aerosol particles that act as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) within a cloud will lead to a change in cloud droplet number concentration

  • To explore and illustrate the time dependency in the growth of larger aerosol, Aerosol-Cloud-Precipitation Interaction Model (ACPIM) was run for two cases: small aerosol median diameter (100 nm, the “small aerosol” case) and large aerosol median diameter (1000 nm, the “large aerosol” case), both with total number concentrations of 500 cm−3

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Summary

Introduction

Clouds are important components in understanding climate change and must be accurately represented in largescale (regional and global) weather and climate models so that we can make realistic future climate predictions. The effective radiative forcing of aerosol and cloud interactions (including cloud albedo enhancement and cloud lifetime effect) have some of the largest uncertainties of all considered components of radiative forcing as reported in the IPCC 5th Annual Report Aerosol particles interact with clouds by acting as nuclei on which water vapour can condense under liquid water supersaturated conditions. A change in the concentration of the subset of aerosol particles that act as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) within a cloud will lead to a change in cloud droplet number concentration. It is key to understanding the role of clouds in climate that the activation of cloud droplets is well represented in numerical models

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