Abstract

The objective of this paper is to study the problem of employee turnover prediction and to develop a classifier that uses employee's data to identify those who have a greater tendency to leave the company voluntarily. For such purpose, the data of 8724 employees from a real Brazilian beverage company was used to train an Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) classifier, assigning to each sample a weight inversely proportional to the size of the respective class. After the training, the classifier displayed an overall accuracy of 79% of the test data.

Highlights

  • Employee turnover can cause instability and unexpected expenses for the organization

  • The objective of this paper is to study the problem of employee turnover prediction and to develop a classifier that uses employee's data to identify those who have a greater tendency to leave the company voluntarily

  • The data of 8724 employees of a real Brazilian beverage company were used. 15% of them voluntarily resigned, 11% were dismissed from their jobs, and 74% remain active in the company

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Summary

Introduction

Employee turnover can cause instability and unexpected expenses for the organization. The motivations leading an employee to leave a company are often complex and difficult to identify, so machine learning models have been used successfully to address problems similar to the Turnover problem. The model goes through a training step that is performed automatically from existing data, after the training stage the model is able to make predictions from new data. The present work studied several machine learning models and applied the knowledge studied using Extreme Learning Machines (ELM), a type of artificial neural network with a single hidden layer whose weights are fixed randomly and the weights of the output layer can be trained through the least squares method, which grants ELMs a simple and fast training, alongside a good generalization performance [1].

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