An Intelligent Decision-Making Approach for Multi-Ship Traffic Conflict Mitigation from the Perspective of Maritime Surveillance

Abstract

Potential multi-ship conflict situations in coastal or near-shore port areas have always been one of the important factors affecting ship navigation safety and a key target of maritime traffic regulatory authorities. In recent years, with the continuous development and integration of various emerging technologies in the maritime field, maritime traffic supervision has also shown a trend of intelligent and autonomous development. The traditional supervision method dominated by human experience is evolving towards data and model-driven practices. In order to solve the problem of ship navigation safety supervision under multi-ship conflict scenarios, it is urgent to build an intelligent conflict mitigation decision-making model. Therefore, this paper designs a novel risk mitigation decision-making model for multi-ship conflict scenarios from the perspective of maritime supervision. The model proposed in this paper first extracts high-density ship clusters based on AIS (Automatic Identification System) data and uses the MCD (Mean Core Density) and PRM (Proportion of Relative Motion) as feature indicators to further mine potential multi-ship conflict scenarios. Finally, a global optimization decision-making model is constructed to effectively mitigate conflict risks. Experimental verification shows that the intelligent decision-making model for the mitigation of maritime traffic conflict proposed in this paper can autonomously identify conflict scenarios and make reasonable decisions in real time. It can effectively ensure the navigation safety of ships in multi-ship conflict scenarios and further improve the supervision level of maritime departments.