An integrated process-based framework for flood phase segmentation and assessment

Abstract

From a process perspective, a flood includes several phases with distinguishable features. Fine-grained multisource data for different flood phases can be used to inform decision-making as flooding progresses. Therefore, the aim of this study was to develop an integrated framework based on human perceptions to progressively profile floods, including flood process segmentation rules (FPSR), flood severity index (FSI) and flood process perception ontology (FPPO). FPSR identifies flood phases based on specific signals in multisource data and provides spatiotemporal process information to FPPO consistent with flood perception. FSI follows FPSR to evaluate flooding throughout its evolution process. The comparison between FPSR and the flood monitoring index (IF) demonstrates that FPSR can detect flood events and segment the flooding process into latency, onset, development and recovery phases. The correlations between the standardized antecedent precipitation index (SAPI) and FSI show that FSI can assess flood severity with both natural and social effects in every flooding phase (R2 = 0.726 and 0.673 for the 2016 and 2020 floods, respectively). An experiment finds that flood events in Wuhan, China, usually begin in mid-to-late June and are the most severe in July, when more caution is needed for flood prevention and mitigation.