Abstract
Commercial Supersonic aircraft could return in 2030-2040 due to our desire for fast travel and aircraft engine design advancements. However, a perceived gap between aircraft design, modeling supersonic aircraft operations, and the potential market size estimation needs to be perceived. Therefore, we develop an integrated computer model to tie the preliminary supersonic aircraft design process, the economics of developing and operating supersonic aircraft, and passenger preferences to estimate worldwide demand for supersonic travel. This methodology is comprehensive and iterative due to the nature of market demand uncertainty for supersonic aircraft and the complex nature of supersonic network operations. Based on a supersonic aircraft concept, this integrated model quantifies the worldwide market potential and operational requirements. The result of this work provides valuable guidance to aircraft designers to produce desired target demand. In addition, this model may reduce the initial design cycle by quantifying fleet size as part of an integrated modeling process.
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