An integrated FMEA approach using Best-Worst and MARCOS methods based on D numbers for prioritization of failures

Abstract

Failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) is a useful reliability analysis technique to identify potential failure modes in a wide range of industries. However, the conventional FMEA method is deficient in dealing with the risk evaluation and prioritization method. To overcome the shortcomings, this paper presents a new risk priority model using Best-Worst Method based on D numbers (D-BWM) and the Measurement of Alternatives and Ranking according to COmpromise Solution based on D numbers (D-MARCOS). First, D numbers are used to deal with the uncertainty of FMEA team members’ subjective judgment. Second, the distance-based method is proposed to determine the objective weight of each team member. Then, the D-BWM was used to determine the weight of risk factors. The combination rule of D number theory combined the evaluation information of multiple members into group opinions. Finally, D-MARCOS method is proposed to obtain the risk priority of the failure modes. An example and the results of comparative analysis show the method is effective.