An Increased Lateral Femoral Condyle Ratio in Addition to Increased Posterior Tibial Slope and Narrower Notch Index Is a Risk Factor for Female Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injury

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To investigate the relationship between the lateral femoral condyle ratio (LFCR) among osseous morphologic characteristics of the knee and anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury in female patients. Inclusion criteria were female patients (ACL group, n= 59) undergoing primary ACL reconstruction from 2012 to 2018. Control female patients (control group, n= 58) were matched by age, height, and body mass index to ACL group. They had no meniscal or ligament tear, and no trochlear dysplasia on magnetic resonance imaging. The LFCR, notch width index (NWI), and posterior tibial slope (PTS) were measured and compared between the ACL and control groups. For each risk factor, the receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under the curve and its 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated to determine the cutoff for detecting increased risk of ACL injury. The LFCR was significantly larger in the knees in the ACL group than in the control group (P= .001). The NWI was significantly smaller and the PTS was significantly larger in the knees in the ACL group than in the control group (P= .000, P= .000, respectively). The NWI (odds ratio [OR] 1.41; P= .000) was the most significant factor, followed by the PTS (OR 1.29; P= .003) and the LFCR (OR 1.26; P= .001). The area under the curve (0.67, 95% CI 0.58-0.77) for the LFCR had a sensitivity of 66% and specificity of 66% to predict an ACL injury. The cutoff of 63.9 was associated with an increased risk for ACL injury (OR 3.71; 95% CI 1.73-7.95). An increased LFCR was associated with female ACL injury. The LFCR, NWI, and PTS are predictive risk factors for an ACL injury. These findings need to be considered for clinician in identifying female patients at risk for an ACL injury. III, retrospective comparative prognostic trial.