An improved two-stage framework of evidence-based design optimization

Abstract

In this paper, an improved two-stage framework is presented to handle the evidence-based design optimization (EBDO) problem under epistemic uncertainty. The improvements include two aspects: (1) in the first stage, the equal areas method is employed to transform evidence variables into random variables, which avoids the assumption that unknown evidence variables and parameters obey the normal distribution. Then, a reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problem with random variables is defined and solved by the sequential optimization and reliability assessment (SORA) method; (2) in the second stage, an improved algorithm is presented, which can calculate the plausibility of constraint violation more efficiently by continuously recording the minimum and maximum values of limit-state functions. The computational accuracy and efficiency of the improved framework are tested by numerical and engineering examples.