Abstract

Cognitive radio is considered as an intelligent wireless communication system proposed to improve the utilization of the radio electromagnetic spectrum. In CR technology the secondary users take the responsibility of dynamically sensing and accessing any unused channels in the spectrum allocated to the licensed users. As spectrum sensing consumes considerable energy, predictive methods for inferring the availability of spectrum holes can reduce energy consumption of the unlicensed users to only sense those channels which are likely to be idle. It also helps to improve the spectrum utilizations. Several prediction techniques have been used to predict spectrum utilization. However, most of current approaches do not consider seasonality in spectrum workload, for example most of the channels are busy during business hours in mobile phone bands. This paper; proposes a channel status predictor based on the multiplicative seasonal model called Holt-Winters’ method. The proposed prediction method has the ability to adapt with changes in trends and seasonal patterns of the sensing observations. Performance analysis and the accuracy of the channel status prediction schemes are investigated.

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