Abstract

Wind resource assessment has important economic and ecological implications. Many developing countries in arid and semiarid areas are caught in a dilemma between the development of wind energy and the threat of sandy desertification. Sand-driving winds are momentous for both generating wind energy and aeolian research. The estimation for the probability of sand-driving winds has been rarely studied. The ability of the two-parameter Weibull distribution to estimate high wind velocities is questioned and parameters appear to have no practical significance. Drift potential (DP) is a way of evaluating potential sand transport volume by sand-driving winds, but the relationship between DP and the wind energy of sand-driving winds has been rarely studied. In this paper, a function was constructed from the expressions of DP and the two-parameter Weibull probability distribution to improve the estimation of sand-driving winds. This is simple and applicable to arid and semiarid areas worldwide. The mean wind velocity and the mean wind power density at a height of 10 m around the Badain Jaran Sand Sea in China, are in the range between 2.64 and 4.79 m·s−1, and 27.61–165.61 W·m−2, respectively. The mean wind power density of sand-driving winds accounted for half or more of the total mean wind power density. The relationship among DP, the wind power density of sand-driving winds and the probability of sand-driving winds, was proved theoretically. Gentle winds and strong winds are distinguished by the drift wind velocity at which potential sand transport activities (potential lost wind power density) reach their maximum. The scale parameter dominates the mean and median wind velocity, and represents the effect of convection. The shape parameter characterizes the atmospheric stability. These results provide a basis for the wind energy development, improve the understanding of aeolian activities, and have implications for sand control engineering.

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