Abstract

Blood pressure (BP) is an important indicator of an individual's health status and is closely related to daily behaviors. Thus, a continuous daily measurement of BP is critical for hypertension control. To assist continuous measurement, BP prediction based on non-physiological data (ubiquitous mobile phone data) was studied in the research. An algorithm was proposed that predicts BP based on patients’ daily routine, which includes activities such as sleep, work, and commuting. The aim of the research is to provide insight into the application of mobile data in telemonitoring and the continuous unobtrusive daily measurement of BP. A half-year data set from October 2017 of 320 individuals, including telecom data and BP measurement data, was analyzed. Two hierarchical Bayesian topic models were used to extract individuals’ location-driven daily routine patterns (topics) and calculate probabilities among these topics from their day-level mobile trajectories. Based on the topic probability distribution and patients’ contextual data, their BP were predicted using different models. The prediction model comparison shows that the long short-term memory (LSTM) method exceeds others when the data has a high dependency. Otherwise, the Random Forest regression model outperforms the LSTM method. Also, the experimental results validate the effectiveness of the topics in BP prediction.

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