Abstract

This study forecasts future issues in NCAA Division I FBS intercollegiate athletics. The research design employed the Delphi technique to survey an expert panel, consisting of 12 athletic directors and associate athletic directors from FBS institutions, over three rounds to ascertain what issues are likely to occur over the next five to seven years and whether or not these issues will have a significant impact on the way intercollegiate athletics operates. 
 Results of the study revealed eight issues that were likely to occur over the next five to seven years. Four of these issues related to the economic sector of the environment, one related to the legal sector, and three related to the sociocultural. Further, 14 of the issues were rated by the expert panel as having a significant level of impact if they were to occur. Recommendations are made based on the forecasts by the expert panel.

Highlights

  • This study forecasts future administrative issues in the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) Division I Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) of intercollegiate athletics

  • The largest organization in intercollegiate athletics that will be taking on these challenges is the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA)

  • With the rapidity and breadth of current changes, such as conference realignment, Power 5 autonomy, and multiple legal proceedings taking place in the NCAA, this study aimed to add to the body of literature by assessing the current state of the environment and by forecasting how current changes will affect the future environment in which the NCAA and its membership operate over the five to seven years

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Summary

Introduction

This study forecasts future administrative issues in the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) Division I Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) of intercollegiate athletics. While this reform stemmed from the government, its enforcement required many efforts from students and administrators within intercollegiate athletic programs (Wushanley, 2004) It is important for those in leadership positions within the NCAA to understand the future consequences for different stakeholder groups based on the current set of internal and external pressures (Branch & Crow, 1994). The most drastic change that the committee recommended was granting autonomy to institutions in the Power 5 conferences, i.e., Atlantic Coast Conference, Big Ten Conference, Big 12 Conference, Pacific 12 Conference, and Southeastern Conference, to create policies related to the use of resources on student-athlete well-being This autonomy allowed for an increase in money expenditure on student-athlete-centric initiatives by limiting the necessary votes on this type of legislation to members of these conferences, thereby blocking lesser-resourced programs from voting down such cost-inducing initiatives

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