Abstract

We propose a method to estimate the number of on-board passengers for a given train traffic rescheduling plan. Based on the estimates by this method, we can calculate the evaluation indices of the rescheduling plan from the viewpoint of passengers. Our method is composed of two interactive simulations. One is a train traffic simulation that represents the movements of trains based on the given rescheduling plan. The other is a passengers flow simulation that represents passengers' choices for their own desirable trains based on the Logit model. We show how our method works with a simple example that clarifies inherent problems.

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