An Ensemble of Adaptive Surrogate Models Based on Local Error Expectations

Abstract

An ensemble of surrogate models with high robustness and accuracy can effectively avoid the difficult choice of surrogate model. However, most of the existing ensembles of surrogate models are constructed with static sampling methods. In this paper, we propose an ensemble of adaptive surrogate models by applying adaptive sampling strategy based on expected local errors. In the proposed method, local error expectations of the surrogate models are calculated. Then according to local error expectations, the new sample points are added within the dominating radius of the samples. Constructed by the RBF and Kriging models, the ensemble of adaptive surrogate models is proposed by combining the adaptive sampling strategy. The benchmark test functions and an application problem that deals with driving arm base of palletizing robot show that the proposed method can effectively improve the global and local prediction accuracy of the surrogate model.