An enhanced grey wolf optimizer boosted machine learning prediction model for patient-flow prediction

Abstract

Large and medium-sized general hospitals have adopted artificial intelligence big data systems to optimize the management of medical resources to improve the quality of hospital outpatient services and decrease patient wait times in recent years as a result of the development of medical information technology and the rise of big medical data. However, owing to the impact of several elements, including the physical environment, patient, and physician behaviours, the real optimum treatment effect does not meet expectations. In order to promote orderly patient access, this work provides a patient-flow prediction model that takes into account shifting dynamics and objective rules of patient-flow to handle this issue and forecast patients' medical requirements. First, we propose a high-performance optimization method (SRXGWO) and integrate the Sobol sequence, Cauchy random replacement strategy, and directional mutation mechanism into the grey wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm. The patient-flow prediction model (SRXGWO-SVR) is then proposed using SRXGWO to optimize the parameters of support vector regression (SVR). Twelve high-performance algorithms are examined in the benchmark function experiments' ablation and peer algorithm comparison tests, which are intended to validate SRXGWO's optimization performance. In order to forecast independently in the patient-flow prediction trials, the data set is split into training and test sets. The findings demonstrated that SRXGWO-SVR outperformed the other seven peer models in terms of prediction accuracy and error. As a result, SRXGWO-SVR is anticipated to be a reliable and efficient patient-flow forecast system that may help hospitals manage medical resources as effectively as possible.