Abstract

Based on the management of big data, the analysis and forecast of the employment demand cycle business situation studied in this article is based on the employment cycle theory and a complete set of employment monitoring, employment evaluation, employment forecasting, and policy selection theories and strategies developed around the employment cycle fluctuations, a specific employment phenomenon. First, systematically evaluate the current state of the employment demand boom, appropriately reflect the hot and cold degree of the employment demand boom, and provide necessary information for the government’s regulatory measures, content, and timing. Secondly, it reflects the regulatory effects of graduate employment monitoring, judging whether graduate employment monitoring measures are properly applied, whether they have the effect of smoothing out employment fluctuations, and promoting the country’s employment demand; in addition, business decision makers can take advantage of the employment demand boom, by monitoring the information provided by the early warning system and timely foreseeing the upcoming macrocontrol measures, so that enterprises’ labor adjustments can adapt to the government’s regulatory measures. At the same time, the model proposes a prosperity index method for monitoring and early warning of the employment demand cycle. After selecting and dividing three types of prosperity indicators, the DI index reflecting the trend of the prosperity change and the CI index reflecting the strength of the prosperity change are calculated and constructed. The national employment demand boom monitoring and early warning signal system predicts the trend of the employment boom cycle outside the sample period. The experimental results show that the cyclic prosperity forecast results are consistent not only with the national employment demand prosperity in recent months, but also with the use of the structural measurement ARIMA (p, d, q) model. The alertness value is close, indicating that this indicator system has a good effect on the national employment demand boom monitoring and early warning.

Highlights

  • With the rapid development of the country’s economy and culture, competition in all walks of life is becoming increasingly fierce

  • It is inevitable to study the establishment of a national employment demand boom monitoring and early warning system, because it can correctly evaluate the current state of employment demand boom operation, properly reflect the degree of hot and cold employment demand boom, and provide government control measures, content, and timing of introduction

  • According to the principle of maximum degree of subordination, it can be judged that the social risks derived from unemployment of university graduates are in a light alarm state. is paper designs detailed test cases for system functions and conducts system function tests based on the test cases

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Summary

Introduction

With the rapid development of the country’s economy and culture, competition in all walks of life is becoming increasingly fierce. It is inevitable to study the establishment of a national employment demand boom monitoring and early warning system, because it can correctly evaluate the current state of employment demand boom operation, properly reflect the degree of hot and cold employment demand boom, and provide government control measures, content, and timing of introduction It reflects the regulatory effect of graduate employment monitoring, judging whether graduate employment monitoring measures are properly applied, and promoting the country’s employment needs. Based on the combination of theoretical analysis and practice, the design ideas of the overall structure of the employment demand boom monitoring and early warning system are discussed It clarifies the screening methods of the leading, explains the construction guidelines of the employment demand boom monitoring and early warning indicator system, and discusses the compilation method of the employment demand boom’s diffusion index and composite index. A monitoring and early warning system for the boom cycle of employment demand has been established, and the warning limit of the boom index of employment demand has been determined

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