An empirical study of the time-varying spillover effects between China’s crude oil futures market and new energy markets

Abstract

The time-varying spillover effect of China’s crude oil futures market and new energy market has an important impact on promoting the green development of China’s economy. This study uses the dynamic connectedness method based on DCC-GARCH model to analyze the time-varying spillover effects between Shanghai crude oil futures and various industries in new energy markets. The results show that there was a stable volatility correlation and high degree of connectedness between Shanghai crude oil futures and the new energy stock market. The new energy vehicle and energy storage industries were driving the market, while Shanghai crude oil futures and both wind power and photovoltaic industries were driven by the market.With the analysis results, the study provides scientific policy recommendations for the development of China’s crude oil futures market and new energy market, which are expected to contribute to the sustainable development of the energy market.