Abstract

This paper compares the pricing of credit risk in the bond market and the fast-growing credit default swap (CDS) market. The empirical findings confirm the theoretical prediction that bond spreads and CDS spreads move together in the long run. Nevertheless, in the short run this relationship does not always hold. My study shows that the deviation is largely due to different responses of the two markets to changes in credit conditions. In particular, the CDS market appears to move ahead of the bond market in price discovery.

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