Abstract
This study investigates the causal relationship between Türkiye’s economic, financial, and political risk rates and CDS premiums. This assessment uses the Bootstrap TY and time-varying causality test to scrutinise the relationship between the risk rates and CDS premium between the periods 2000:10 and 2020:06. While the former analysis finds no causal relationship among the variables, the latter analysis deduces a significant causality. The Bootstrap TY asymmetric causality test findings discover causality arising from the negative shocks from political risk to CDS premium. The findings of the time-varying causality test identify periods in Türkiye in which a causal relationship is prevalent between economic, financial, and political risk with CDS premium.
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