An Empirical Analysis of the Economic Integration Between Mexico and the United States and Its Connection with Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations (1980–2000)

Abstract

This article provides a new perspective about the links between the Mexican and US economies by studying the behavior of some Macroeconomic variables during the 1980–2000 period. It uses time series techniques to show that the Mexican GDP, its components and even real money balances had a robust long-run relationship with the US economic activity and the bilateral real exchange. The tighter nexuses appear to have begun in the early eighties and not in the nineties, as is often thought. The relationships here found were not modified by the inception of NAFTA or other events.