Abstract

The 2009 German federal election marked the end of the Grand Coalition comprising Christian and Social Democrats, in power since 2005. On election night, September 27, it was clear that the victory margin gained by the Christian Democrats, which later formed a coalition government with the Liberals, was larger than expected. Actually, the overall outcome showed two main features. Instead of a close race, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) experienced the worst election result since World War II. In addition, its new competitor, the new Left Party (LP), increased its strength compared to 2005. Turnout, in constant decline since 1998, decreased by another seven percentage points to 70.8 percent. This is the lowest ever recorded turnout in a German federal election.KeywordsPast PerformanceVote ShareGrand CoalitionVote ChoiceFederal ElectionThese keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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