Abstract

Complex nonlinear turbulent dynamical systems are ubiquitous in many areas of research. Recovering unobserved state variables is an important topic for the data assimilation of turbulent systems. In this article, an efficient continuous-in-time data assimilation scheme is developed, which exploits closed analytic formulas for updating the unobserved state variables. Therefore, it is computationally efficient and accurate. The new data assimilation scheme is combined with a simple reduced order modeling technique that involves a cheap closure approximation and noise inflation. In such a way, many complicated turbulent dynamical systems can satisfy the requirements of the mathematical structures for the proposed efficient data assimilation scheme. The new data assimilation scheme is then applied to the Sabra shell model, which is a conceptual model for nonlinear turbulence. The goal is to recover the unobserved shell velocities across different spatial scales. It is shown that the new data assimilation scheme is skillful in capturing the nonlinear features of turbulence including the intermittency and extreme events in both the chaotic and the turbulent dynamical regimes. It is also shown that the new data assimilation scheme is more accurate and computationally cheaper than the standard ensemble Kalman filter and nudging data assimilation schemes for assimilating the Sabra shell model with partial observations.

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