Abstract
This article is based on the report, Anticipating and Assessing Health Care Technology, written in the Netherlands between 1985-88. The project was carried out because of increasing concern in the Dutch Ministry of Health (STG, then WVC) about the costs and benefits of new technologies for health care. At that time, there were no established models for early identification, so the project was not only the most extensive such effort to that date, but had to develop its own methods. Overseen by a special commission, the project staff identified many future and emerging technologies in health care and assessed selected technologies. Although the actual information produced was quickly dated and the project was discontinued in 1988, it did stimulate the Ministry of Health to ask the Dutch Health Council (Gezondheidsraad) to continuously identify important new technologies. The reports also demonstrated the potential usefulness of such an effort to Dutch policy makers, and probably to those in other countries as well.
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