An Attempt to Model Factors Affecting the School’s Dropout Phenomenon in Yemen

Muhammed Abdul Kareem Al-Mansoob

doi:10.11648/j.ijecs.20180305.11

Abstract

Due to many reasons, the dropout problem at the Yemeni schools is escalating tremendously. This study provides an in-depth analysis on school dropouts through analyzing all available and relative raw data that have been obtained in three Yemeni national official surveys: Household Budget Survey (HBS) 2005-2006, Child Labor Survey (CLS) 2010 and HBS 2014. In each survey, a number of dropouts' reasons was investigated and seven of them were found to be common in these three surveys. With attendance status (attended, not attended) as a dependent variable, the binary logistic regression was used to find out statistical significant reasons for school dropouts in Yemen for the two age groups 6-14 and 15-17 years. From each survey, some significant independent variables (reasons) were detected. These significant reasons were divided into six related dimensions namely; poverty, schools’ situation, education willingness, orphanhood, sex of the children and residence area. Careful consideration to these dimensions has led to suggest a number of relative recommendations and also a prototype that addresses the dropout problem and its deep roots in Yemen.

Highlights

The reports of Household Budget Survey (HBS) 2005-2006, Child Labor Survey (CLS) 2010 and HBS 2014 had mentioned 25.7%, 18.2% and 16.6% prevalence rates of not attending schools in Yemen respectively [1,2,3], where the positive progress is clear
The National Social Protection Monitoring Survey (NSPMS) reveals that during the 2012/2013 school year, there were around 1.6 million girls and boys aged 6-14 years that were not enrolled in the education system, that is more than a quarter (27.5%) of the primary and lower secondary age population is out of school [9]
It is very clear that most of the dropouts are of the rural areas in the three surveys

Summary

Introduction

The reports of HBS 2005-2006, CLS 2010 and HBS 2014 had mentioned 25.7%, 18.2% and 16.6% prevalence rates of not attending schools in Yemen respectively [1,2,3], where the positive progress is clear. Taking into account that the total projected population of children and adolescents aged 6-17 years to be 8,220,000 [6], it is easy to estimate the new out of school prevalence rate as 24.3%. This relapse is mainly due to the ongoing war that erupted on March 2015 and still storming the whole country that considered as one of the big motives for us to conduct this research. After three years of brutal war in Yemen, the education system is on the brink of a total collapse as nearly 2 million children-more than a quarter of all school-aged children- are not enrolled during the 2016/2017 school year [4]. UNICEF on March 2018, is reporting horrific figures about the schooling situation in Yemen; 2500 schools are out of use, Muhammed Abdul Kareem Al-Mansoob et al.: An Attempt to Model Factors Affecting the School’s Dropout Phenomenon in Yemen

Objectives

Results

Discussion

Conclusion