An Assessment of Solar Cycle 25 progress through observation of SRBs and associated Geomagnetic Storms

Abstract

Geomagnetic storms are severe aspects of Space Weather. They originate due to solar transient emissions such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs), whose energetic materials propagate in the Interplanetary medium and are coupled with the magnetosphere system. CME driven Geomagnetic storms are often associated with solar radio bursts (SRBs), particularly type II and type IV bursts. In this study, we present the preliminary results of solar radio observations and their associated geomagnetic activity during solar cycle 25 (SC 25) from January 2020 to June 2023, focusing on the cycle’s first four intense geomagnetic storms. The study used various radio telescopes, mainly the compound astronomical low-frequency low-cost instrument for spectroscopy and transportable observatory (CALLISTO), as well as OMNI data and the World Data Center for Geomagnetism. During the study period, it was found that 23 solar radio bursts diagnosed the geomagnetic storms with Dst <-50nT from 35 reported, including three severe storms of the SC 25. The time delay between the solar radio bursts and the arrival of CMEs and/or HSS near the Earth’s magnetosphere is estimated with an average value of 79 h within the [48–120 h] range for 23 geomagnetic storms associated with solar radio bursts. Among 35 geomagnetic storms recorded, five are recurring geomagnetic storms associated with coronal high-speed streams (HSS), while CMEs cause the rest with average speeds of 750 km/s. The current SC 25 recognizes four major storms within the scope of the study. On 21 April 2023, a type II radio burst followed by a type IV burst diagnosed the first severe geomagnetic storm on 24 April 2023. The second severe storm was unusual and detected in the absence of the precursor as a solar radio burst. The SRBs of type II burst and type IV burst extending in IP medium on 1 November 2021 tracked the third major storm of the cycle while the group of type III radio bursts, type II and type IV bursts on 24 February 2023, predicted the major storm on 27 February 2023. These major geomagnetic storms are linked to CMEs that show expanding flux ropes, which are signatures of type II and moving type IV radio bursts identified. Furthermore, the detected SRBs and related major geomagnetic storms are proof of high solar and magnetic activity of the ascending phase of SC 25. The SC 25 has been characterized overall, and its current progress is being tracked using observations of SRBs and magnetic activity during its rising phase.