An Assessment of Flood Risk in the Gambia: A Data-Driven Approach to Flood Risk Management and Prevention

Abstract

Coastal African countries, including Gambia, are increasingly vulnerable to a range of natural disasters, notably flooding, which poses significant challenges to sustainable development and safety. This study set out to comprehensively assess the flood risk in Gambia using a data-driven approach, aiming to enhance flood risk management and prevention strategies. Utilizing geospatial data and Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques, the research involved mapping and categorizing flood risk zones across various regions. The analysis focused on the identification and categorization of flood risk zones, assessment of the vulnerability of key infrastructures, health facilities, road networks, and settlements to flooding. The findings reveal that a total of 2,721 square kilometers of land is at flood risk categorized as either high or very high. This constitutes 26.89 percent of the country’s of terrestrial area. A total of 25 critical health infrastructure were in areas of this high flood risk categorization – ranging from general hospitals to clinics. Up to 24.5% of the nation's road network was found to be in this flood risk zone. Of the country’s five administrative regions, the West Coast Region which is home to most of its urban centers was most at risk of flooding. Here, of the 353 settlements in this region, 172 of them fell under the high to very high-risk flood zone categorization, constituting 48.7% of the settlements at a significant level of flood vulnerability. This study enhances the understanding of flood hazards in Gambia, providing essential perspectives for decision makers, city planners, and emergency response teams. This research highlights the need for using data-driven methods in identifying and managing environmental risks. It also advocates for the adoption of long-term strategic planning, infrastructure enhancements, and community-based activities to reduce the effects of floods.