Abstract
The objective of this research is to investigate employment patterns by age-sex specific cohorts through the application of a modified version of the shift-share model and in the process incorporating the Patterson (1991) regression analogue. Are older workers becoming unemployed or encouraged to take early retirement? Has the shift to less physically demanding employment across industries benefited females? The results of this study clearly indicate that adult workers have fared better than either younger or older workers in terms of relative employment growth, suggesting that the trend towards early retirement has not significantly reduced the employment problem facing younger cohorts.
Highlights
The objective of this paper is to investigate Canadian employment patterns by agesex specific cohorts through the application of a modified version of the shift-share model first suggested by Brox and Carvalho (2002) and extended by Brox and Carvalho (2007) to account for labour-force changes
While a few past studies have investigated the employment prospects of different age-sex cohorts in relation to variables such as education levels, minimum wages, and retirement age (Bottoms 1981, Hostland 1985), this research offers an alternative view by utilizing the shift-share model to explore age-cohort employment patterns on a regional scale
Adapted to take into account different age groups, the shift-share model is employed to establish employment prospects by age-sex cohorts according to regional industrial concentration
Summary
The objective of this paper is to investigate Canadian employment patterns by agesex specific cohorts through the application of a modified version of the shift-share model first suggested by Brox and Carvalho (2002) and extended by Brox and Carvalho (2007) to account for labour-force changes. Adapted to take into account different age groups, the shift-share model is employed to establish employment prospects by age-sex cohorts according to regional industrial concentration. In the process of separating employment by industry and region for different age groups, the shift-share model provides the basis for determining which of the various age-sex cohorts have fared better
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